Initializing backtest engine
Prediction market intelligence — v2.0

Test your Polymarket edge.

AI-powered backtesting engine for prediction markets. Simulate strategies against historical data. Find alpha before risking capital.

Scroll

Why
polyBT

Every tool you need to validate prediction market strategies before going live.

001 — Core engine

Natural language
strategies

Describe your thesis in plain English. The AI decomposes it into entry signals, exit rules, and position sizing — ready to simulate in seconds.

002 — Data

Full market
history

Every resolved market. Every odds tick. Every liquidity snapshot. 2.4M+ markets indexed and queryable.

003 — Simulation

Monte Carlo
paths

10,000 simulated outcomes per backtest. Understand your risk distribution, not just the mean.

004 — Live mode

Paper trading &
forward testing

Validate strategies against live markets with zero risk. Automated tracking, real-time P&L, and drift alerts when your model breaks down.

Performance

Numbers
that
matter.

Built for speed and accuracy. Our engine processes historical data at rates that make real-time backtesting feel instant.

< 200ms
Per simulation
98.7%
Data accuracy
340K+
Backtests run

How it
works.

01

Define
strategy

Use natural language or our visual rule builder to describe your prediction market thesis. Set markets, conditions, position sizes, and timeframes.

02

Run
simulation

Your strategy replays against every historical resolution. Real odds data. Real liquidity. Real outcomes. Nothing synthetic.

03

Analyze
results

Sharpe ratio, max drawdown, win rate, expected value, tail risk — every metric you need to decide if your edge is signal or noise.

04

Deploy
or iterate

Confident? Forward-test live. Not there yet? Tweak parameters and re-run. The loop is instant.

Stop
guessing.

Join the waitlist. We're onboarding traders and quants in batches.